DG:EURONEXT PARISVINCI SA Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-21 - not real-time
$104.61
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Dollar General (DG) trades at $104.61, well below its 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day moving averages, signaling a bearish technical backdrop, while the RSI of 36 hints at near‑oversold conditions and a modest bounce potential. Fundamentally, the company delivers solid revenue growth of ~6% YoY, a respectable ROE of almost 19%, and a dividend yield of 2.26% backed by a payout ratio under 35%, suggesting dividend sustainability despite a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of ~185%.
Valuation metrics are mixed: the DCF‑derived fair value of roughly $96 places the stock modestly above intrinsic estimates, yet a low price‑to‑sales multiple of 0.54 and analyst consensus calling the stock a “buy” with median target near $143 imply upside potential. The blend of defensive sector positioning, increasing volume, and strong cash flow supports a cautiously optimistic outlook, tempered by elevated volatility (≈38% 30‑day) and leverage concerns.
Valuation metrics are mixed: the DCF‑derived fair value of roughly $96 places the stock modestly above intrinsic estimates, yet a low price‑to‑sales multiple of 0.54 and analyst consensus calling the stock a “buy” with median target near $143 imply upside potential. The blend of defensive sector positioning, increasing volume, and strong cash flow supports a cautiously optimistic outlook, tempered by elevated volatility (≈38% 30‑day) and leverage concerns.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price is near the identified support level of $100.21
- Bearish SMA alignment but RSI approaching oversold territory
- Rising volume suggests potential short‑term buying interest
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Analyst consensus target median around $143 indicating upside
- Strong cash generation and dividend yield of 2.26% with low payout ratio
- Revenue growth and defensive consumer‑discretionary positioning
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- High debt‑to‑equity ratio may constrain future flexibility
- Sustained dividend and solid ROE support shareholder value
- Discount‑store sector offers defensive resilience over economic cycles
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth5.90%
Profit Margin3.54%
P/E Ratio15.3
ROE18.99%
ROA4.55%
Debt/Equity184.66
P/B Ratio2.7
Op. Cash Flow$3.6B
Free Cash Flow$2.2B
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI36.6
Support$100.21
Resistance$123.67
MA 20$111.46
MA 50$118.87
MA 200$121.26
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.29
Valuation
Fair Value$95.92
Target Price$144.18
Upside/Downside37.82%
GradeFair
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.26%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.55
Volatility38.60%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.